Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 259.677858 293.805411 331.986497 378.105557 432.618186 495.387559 573.694176
2024-10-27 198.994384 240.563196 291.212730 358.319607 446.191552 559.198592 718.639311
2024-11-03 179.145910 226.583029 287.907807 374.726689 497.387185 669.177001 936.874527
2024-11-10 166.449322 218.405106 288.925336 394.506627 553.842134 794.702764 1206.397563
2024-11-17 150.861921 203.613247 277.969179 394.330080 579.560105 877.921946 1430.159645
2024-11-24 135.514331 187.040826 261.899954 383.343450 585.410876 928.902763 1610.459985
2024-12-01 123.113066 173.268786 248.093313 373.427140 590.468917 978.177480 1799.786192
2024-12-08 117.336376 168.672303 247.509590 384.332446 632.179838 1100.902364 2174.577535
2024-12-15 110.376603 161.500596 241.950538 385.858348 656.906895 1196.020767 2521.605821
2024-12-22 102.554955 152.237758 231.999134 378.297754 663.032484 1254.342666 2801.616168
2024-12-29 97.115956 146.317034 226.952819 378.773889 684.668965 1350.071617 3214.835792
2025-01-05 90.801965 138.446863 217.847254 370.568808 687.212130 1403.347616 3532.380613
2025-01-12 86.095030 133.060933 212.834761 370.091962 707.188274 1505.535634 4055.349941
2025-01-19 79.126890 123.373169 199.467356 351.915305 686.022420 1502.270027 4241.535643
2025-01-26 77.725184 123.133868 203.011041 367.853000 744.287035 1719.516485 5322.443381
2025-02-02 76.804291 123.635141 207.912992 387.181690 814.399271 1992.301576 6830.819732
2025-02-09 73.489632 119.600634 203.894338 387.008517 836.703000 2133.340602 7897.458679
2025-02-16 69.211875 113.534491 195.487228 376.277965 830.237815 2183.868777 8579.028200
2025-02-23 65.398726 108.093453 187.901754 366.591098 825.054609 2237.992981 9335.092393
2025-03-02 64.076996 107.190545 189.197775 377.243988 876.939264 2503.354228 11573.349573
2025-03-09 61.887669 104.506745 186.689962 378.734421 903.604827 2689.828959 13573.874409
2025-03-16 58.982677 100.286149 180.732585 371.349209 903.303078 2775.446073 14995.118935
2025-03-23 57.020597 97.769553 178.119280 371.814325 926.649405 2964.271177 17514.973031